EDGEAI
-9 pts
Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Bubba Chandler throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Bubba Chandler throws it 49% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 17% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Bubba Chandler throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Bubba Chandler throws it 49% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 17% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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