EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-9 pts

Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Shane McClanahan throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shane McClanahan throws it 38% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 17% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Friday, August 28, 2026

Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Shane McClanahan throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shane McClanahan throws it 38% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 17% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
669720
player name
Austin Hays
team
San Diego Padres
matchup
San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Shane McClanahan
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.199
own baseline
0.29
k delta
-0.091
weighted avg
0.353
mix covered
0.569
detail
Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Shane McClanahan throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shane McClanahan throws it 38% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 17% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.