EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-7 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Thursday, September 24, 2026

Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Glasnow throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Tyler Glasnow throws it 21% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 13% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 74% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
669720
player name
Austin Hays
team
San Diego Padres
matchup
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
pitcher name
Tyler Glasnow
direction
comfortable
headline
-7 pts
weighted krate
0.195
own baseline
0.269
k delta
-0.074
weighted avg
0.341
mix covered
0.741
detail
Austin Hays is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Glasnow throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Tyler Glasnow throws it 21% of the time, and Austin Hays strikes out 13% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 74% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.