EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+7 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Monday, October 5, 2026
Heliot Ramos is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and Heliot Ramos strikes out 39% of the time against it across 117 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
671218
player name
Heliot Ramos
team
New York Yankees
matchup
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Freddy Peralta
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.345
own baseline
0.273
k delta
0.072
weighted avg
0.223
mix covered
0.894
detail
Heliot Ramos is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and Heliot Ramos strikes out 39% of the time against it across 117 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.