EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+7 pts

Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Kade Anderson throws it 20% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 63% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Thursday, September 3, 2026

Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Kade Anderson throws it 20% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 63% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
671732
player name
Lawrence Butler
team
Athletics
matchup
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
pitcher name
Kade Anderson
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.323
own baseline
0.257
k delta
0.066
weighted avg
0.226
mix covered
1
detail
Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Kade Anderson throws it 20% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 63% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.