EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+15 pts

Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Braydon Fisher throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 15 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Braydon Fisher throws it 29% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 60% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Braydon Fisher throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 15 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Braydon Fisher throws it 29% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 60% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
671732
player name
Lawrence Butler
team
Athletics
matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
pitcher name
Braydon Fisher
direction
vulnerable
headline
+15 pts
weighted krate
0.415
own baseline
0.264
k delta
0.151
weighted avg
0.213
mix covered
0.971
detail
Lawrence Butler is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Braydon Fisher throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 15 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Braydon Fisher throws it 29% of the time, and Lawrence Butler strikes out 60% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.