EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-7 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Saturday, October 17, 2026

Patrick Bailey is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Martinez throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nick Martinez throws it 32% of the time, and Patrick Bailey strikes out 16% of the time against it across 49 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
672275
player name
Patrick Bailey
team
Cleveland Guardians
matchup
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
pitcher name
Nick Martinez
direction
comfortable
headline
-7 pts
weighted krate
0.198
own baseline
0.267
k delta
-0.069
weighted avg
0.185
mix covered
0.921
detail
Patrick Bailey is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Martinez throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nick Martinez throws it 32% of the time, and Patrick Bailey strikes out 16% of the time against it across 49 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.