EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+11 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Sunday, September 20, 2026
Alika Williams is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 28% of the time, and Alika Williams strikes out 52% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Alika Williams Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
675961
player name
Alika Williams
team
Athletics
matchup
Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
pitcher name
Gavin Williams
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.327
own baseline
0.217
k delta
0.11
weighted avg
0.186
mix covered
0.939
detail
Alika Williams is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 28% of the time, and Alika Williams strikes out 52% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.