EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Thursday, October 15, 2026

Jonny DeLuca is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 21% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 29% of the time, and Jonny DeLuca strikes out 49% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 72% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
676356
player name
Jonny DeLuca
team
Tampa Bay Rays
matchup
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
pitcher name
Gavin Williams
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.297
own baseline
0.208
k delta
0.089
weighted avg
0.247
mix covered
0.718
detail
Jonny DeLuca is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 21% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 29% of the time, and Jonny DeLuca strikes out 49% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 72% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.