EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 58% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 33% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 58% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 33% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Eric Wagaman Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
676572
player name
Eric Wagaman
team
New York Mets
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
pitcher name
Kyle Harrison
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.333
own baseline
0.22
k delta
0.113
weighted avg
0.333
mix covered
0.578
detail
Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 58% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 33% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.