EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+12 pts

Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Misiorowski throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 12 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jacob Misiorowski throws it 64% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 35% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 64% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Thursday, August 27, 2026

Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Misiorowski throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 12 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jacob Misiorowski throws it 64% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 35% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 64% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Eric Wagaman Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
676572
player name
Eric Wagaman
team
New York Mets
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
pitcher name
Jacob Misiorowski
direction
vulnerable
headline
+12 pts
weighted krate
0.353
own baseline
0.231
k delta
0.122
weighted avg
0.286
mix covered
0.637
detail
Eric Wagaman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Misiorowski throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 12 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jacob Misiorowski throws it 64% of the time, and Eric Wagaman strikes out 35% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 64% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.