EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+5 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Monday, October 5, 2026
José Caballero is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and José Caballero strikes out 38% of the time against it across 138 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
José Caballero Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
676609
player name
José Caballero
team
New York Yankees
matchup
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Freddy Peralta
direction
vulnerable
headline
+5 pts
weighted krate
0.292
own baseline
0.242
k delta
0.05
weighted avg
0.226
mix covered
0.894
detail
José Caballero is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and José Caballero strikes out 38% of the time against it across 138 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.