EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Blaze Alexander is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Tanner Gordon throws it 44% of the time, and Blaze Alexander strikes out 29% of the time against it across 65 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, August 31, 2026

Blaze Alexander is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Tanner Gordon throws it 44% of the time, and Blaze Alexander strikes out 29% of the time against it across 65 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
677942
player name
Blaze Alexander
team
Baltimore Orioles
matchup
Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies
pitcher name
Tanner Gordon
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.297
own baseline
0.218
k delta
0.079
weighted avg
0.304
mix covered
0.882
detail
Blaze Alexander is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Tanner Gordon throws it 44% of the time, and Blaze Alexander strikes out 29% of the time against it across 65 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.