EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Jorge Barrosa is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Landen Roupp throws it 26% of the time, and Jorge Barrosa strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Thursday, August 27, 2026

Jorge Barrosa is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Landen Roupp throws it 26% of the time, and Jorge Barrosa strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jorge Barrosa Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
678489
player name
Jorge Barrosa
team
Arizona Diamondbacks
matchup
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants
pitcher name
Landen Roupp
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.346
own baseline
0.268
k delta
0.078
weighted avg
0.255
mix covered
0.944
detail
Jorge Barrosa is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Landen Roupp throws it 26% of the time, and Jorge Barrosa strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.