EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-8 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Matt McLain is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Matt McLain strikes out 14% of the time against it across 96 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
680574
player name
Matt McLain
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Clay Holmes
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.195
own baseline
0.28
k delta
-0.085
weighted avg
0.206
mix covered
0.919
detail
Matt McLain is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Matt McLain strikes out 14% of the time against it across 96 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.