EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+14 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 41% of the time against the kind of pitches Max Scherzer throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Max Scherzer throws it 47% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 46% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 80% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
680664
player name
Eduardo Valencia
team
Detroit Tigers
matchup
Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays
pitcher name
Max Scherzer
direction
vulnerable
headline
+14 pts
weighted krate
0.412
own baseline
0.274
k delta
0.138
weighted avg
0.27
mix covered
0.798
detail
Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 41% of the time against the kind of pitches Max Scherzer throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Max Scherzer throws it 47% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 46% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 80% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.