EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Jackson Kent throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jackson Kent throws it 31% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 42% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
680664
player name
Eduardo Valencia
team
Detroit Tigers
matchup
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
pitcher name
Jackson Kent
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.323
own baseline
0.248
k delta
0.075
weighted avg
0.305
mix covered
0.843
detail
Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Jackson Kent throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jackson Kent throws it 31% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 42% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.