EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+13 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Sunday, September 27, 2026
Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jared Jones throws it 47% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 43% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
680664
player name
Eduardo Valencia
team
Detroit Tigers
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers
pitcher name
Jared Jones
direction
vulnerable
headline
+13 pts
weighted krate
0.362
own baseline
0.236
k delta
0.126
weighted avg
0.28
mix covered
0.918
detail
Eduardo Valencia is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jared Jones throws it 47% of the time, and Eduardo Valencia strikes out 43% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.