EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-9 pts

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Sandy Alcantara throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Sandy Alcantara throws it 27% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 55 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, August 24, 2026

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Sandy Alcantara throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Sandy Alcantara throws it 27% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 55 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
680776
player name
Jarren Duran
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Sandy Alcantara
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.194
own baseline
0.282
k delta
-0.088
weighted avg
0.264
mix covered
0.813
detail
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Sandy Alcantara throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Sandy Alcantara throws it 27% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 55 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.