EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-13 pts

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Chris Bassitt throws it 38% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 59 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 80% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Saturday, September 5, 2026

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Chris Bassitt throws it 38% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 59 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 80% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
680776
player name
Jarren Duran
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
pitcher name
Chris Bassitt
direction
comfortable
headline
-13 pts
weighted krate
0.148
own baseline
0.278
k delta
-0.13
weighted avg
0.289
mix covered
0.797
detail
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Chris Bassitt throws it 38% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 9% of the time against it across 59 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 80% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.