EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Dobnak throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Randy Dobnak throws it 39% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 61 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Saturday, September 12, 2026

Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Dobnak throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Randy Dobnak throws it 39% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 61 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
680776
player name
Jarren Duran
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Randy Dobnak
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.197
own baseline
0.277
k delta
-0.08
weighted avg
0.276
mix covered
0.852
detail
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Dobnak throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Randy Dobnak throws it 39% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 61 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.