EDGEAI
-8 pts
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Dobnak throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Randy Dobnak throws it 39% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 61 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
Published Saturday, September 12, 2026
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Dobnak throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Randy Dobnak throws it 39% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 61 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
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