EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-11 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 16% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 64 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
680776
player name
Jarren Duran
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Clay Holmes
direction
comfortable
headline
-11 pts
weighted krate
0.162
own baseline
0.275
k delta
-0.113
weighted avg
0.294
mix covered
0.918
detail
Jarren Duran is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 16% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Jarren Duran strikes out 8% of the time against it across 64 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.