EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-10 pts

Henry Davis is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Ryan Johnson throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the cutter: Ryan Johnson throws it 37% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 10% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Friday, September 4, 2026

Henry Davis is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Ryan Johnson throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the cutter: Ryan Johnson throws it 37% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 10% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
680779
player name
Henry Davis
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Ryan Johnson
direction
comfortable
headline
-10 pts
weighted krate
0.12
own baseline
0.216
k delta
-0.096
weighted avg
0.223
mix covered
0.77
detail
Henry Davis is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Ryan Johnson throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the cutter: Ryan Johnson throws it 37% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 10% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.