EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Henry Davis is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 21% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shota Imanaga throws it 41% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 33% of the time against it across 83 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 56% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Friday, September 11, 2026

Henry Davis is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 21% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shota Imanaga throws it 41% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 33% of the time against it across 83 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 56% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Henry Davis Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
680779
player name
Henry Davis
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Shota Imanaga
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.289
own baseline
0.212
k delta
0.077
weighted avg
0.169
mix covered
0.56
detail
Henry Davis is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 21% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Shota Imanaga throws it 41% of the time, and Henry Davis strikes out 33% of the time against it across 83 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 56% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.