EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Colton Cowser is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Spencer Miles throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Spencer Miles throws it 25% of the time, and Colton Cowser strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Saturday, September 12, 2026

Colton Cowser is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Spencer Miles throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Spencer Miles throws it 25% of the time, and Colton Cowser strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Colton Cowser Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
681297
player name
Colton Cowser
team
Baltimore Orioles
matchup
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
pitcher name
Spencer Miles
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.385
own baseline
0.305
k delta
0.08
weighted avg
0.233
mix covered
0.999
detail
Colton Cowser is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Spencer Miles throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Spencer Miles throws it 25% of the time, and Colton Cowser strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.