EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-11 pts

Connor Norby is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Matt Waldron throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Matt Waldron throws it 17% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 4% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 71% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Connor Norby is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Matt Waldron throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Matt Waldron throws it 17% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 4% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 71% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
681393
player name
Connor Norby
team
Colorado Rockies
matchup
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
pitcher name
Matt Waldron
direction
comfortable
headline
-11 pts
weighted krate
0.185
own baseline
0.3
k delta
-0.115
weighted avg
0.223
mix covered
0.705
detail
Connor Norby is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Matt Waldron throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Matt Waldron throws it 17% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 4% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 71% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.