EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+11 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Sunday, September 20, 2026
Connor Norby is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Kade Anderson throws it 15% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Connor Norby Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
681393
player name
Connor Norby
team
Colorado Rockies
matchup
Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies
pitcher name
Kade Anderson
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.393
own baseline
0.281
k delta
0.112
weighted avg
0.191
mix covered
1
detail
Connor Norby is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Kade Anderson throws it 15% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.