EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+6 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Thursday, September 24, 2026
Connor Norby is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Eduardo Rodriguez throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Eduardo Rodriguez throws it 12% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Connor Norby Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
681393
player name
Connor Norby
team
Colorado Rockies
matchup
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
pitcher name
Eduardo Rodriguez
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.343
own baseline
0.281
k delta
0.062
weighted avg
0.183
mix covered
0.918
detail
Connor Norby is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Eduardo Rodriguez throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Eduardo Rodriguez throws it 12% of the time, and Connor Norby strikes out 58% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.