EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-6 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Tuesday, September 22, 2026
David Fry is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Payton Tolle throws it 45% of the time, and David Fry strikes out 24% of the time against it across 70 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
681807
player name
David Fry
team
Cleveland Guardians
matchup
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
comfortable
headline
-6 pts
weighted krate
0.229
own baseline
0.29
k delta
-0.061
weighted avg
0.216
mix covered
0.877
detail
David Fry is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Payton Tolle throws it 45% of the time, and David Fry strikes out 24% of the time against it across 70 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.