EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jake Irvin throws it 28% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 46% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Saturday, August 22, 2026

Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jake Irvin throws it 28% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 46% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Agustín Ramírez Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
682663
player name
Agustín Ramírez
team
Miami Marlins
matchup
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Jake Irvin
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.324
own baseline
0.233
k delta
0.091
weighted avg
0.136
mix covered
0.602
detail
Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Jake Irvin throws it 28% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 46% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.