EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+10 pts

Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Payton Tolle throws it 46% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 38 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Payton Tolle throws it 46% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 38 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Agustín Ramírez Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
682663
player name
Agustín Ramírez
team
Miami Marlins
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.327
own baseline
0.229
k delta
0.098
weighted avg
0.132
mix covered
0.876
detail
Agustín Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Payton Tolle throws it 46% of the time, and Agustín Ramírez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 38 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.