EDGEAI
-11 pts
Spencer Jones is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Tomoyuki Sugano throws, compared with 36% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the cutter: Tomoyuki Sugano throws it 11% of the time, and Spencer Jones strikes out 10% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 62% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Spencer Jones is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Tomoyuki Sugano throws, compared with 36% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the cutter: Tomoyuki Sugano throws it 11% of the time, and Spencer Jones strikes out 10% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 62% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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