EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Spencer Jones is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 36% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the cutter: Payton Tolle throws it 19% of the time, and Spencer Jones strikes out 20% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
682987
player name
Spencer Jones
team
New York Yankees
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.283
own baseline
0.362
k delta
-0.079
weighted avg
0.319
mix covered
0.879
detail
Spencer Jones is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 36% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the cutter: Payton Tolle throws it 19% of the time, and Spencer Jones strikes out 20% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.