EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+5 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Monday, October 5, 2026
Anthony Volpe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and Anthony Volpe strikes out 28% of the time against it across 72 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
683011
player name
Anthony Volpe
team
New York Yankees
matchup
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Freddy Peralta
direction
vulnerable
headline
+5 pts
weighted krate
0.28
own baseline
0.228
k delta
0.052
weighted avg
0.248
mix covered
0.894
detail
Anthony Volpe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and Anthony Volpe strikes out 28% of the time against it across 72 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.