EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Christian Koss is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Liberatore throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the slider: Matthew Liberatore throws it 26% of the time, and Christian Koss strikes out 45% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Christian Koss Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
683766
player name
Christian Koss
team
San Francisco Giants
matchup
San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Matthew Liberatore
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.347
own baseline
0.235
k delta
0.112
weighted avg
0.18
mix covered
0.698
detail
Christian Koss is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Liberatore throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the slider: Matthew Liberatore throws it 26% of the time, and Christian Koss strikes out 45% of the time against it across 20 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.