EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

Dylan Crews is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Dylan Crews strikes out 46% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Dylan Crews is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Dylan Crews strikes out 46% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Dylan Crews Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
686611
player name
Dylan Crews
team
Washington Nationals
matchup
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
pitcher name
Tanner Gordon
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.328
own baseline
0.236
k delta
0.092
weighted avg
0.219
mix covered
0.882
detail
Dylan Crews is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Dylan Crews strikes out 46% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.