EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+9 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Dylan Crews is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Drew Anderson throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Drew Anderson throws it 31% of the time, and Dylan Crews strikes out 44% of the time against it across 34 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
686611
player name
Dylan Crews
team
Washington Nationals
matchup
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
pitcher name
Drew Anderson
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.33
own baseline
0.243
k delta
0.087
weighted avg
0.227
mix covered
0.935
detail
Dylan Crews is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Drew Anderson throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Drew Anderson throws it 31% of the time, and Dylan Crews strikes out 44% of the time against it across 34 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.