EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-7 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Saturday, September 26, 2026
Pedro Pagés is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the cutter: Dustin May throws it 24% of the time, and Pedro Pagés strikes out 9% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
686780
player name
Pedro Pagés
team
St. Louis Cardinals
matchup
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers
pitcher name
Dustin May
direction
comfortable
headline
-7 pts
weighted krate
0.192
own baseline
0.267
k delta
-0.075
weighted avg
0.2
mix covered
0.864
detail
Pedro Pagés is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the cutter: Dustin May throws it 24% of the time, and Pedro Pagés strikes out 9% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.