EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Drake Baldwin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Glasnow throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the knuckle curve: Tyler Glasnow throws it 21% of the time, and Drake Baldwin strikes out 62% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
686948
player name
Drake Baldwin
team
Atlanta Braves
matchup
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
pitcher name
Tyler Glasnow
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.29
own baseline
0.215
k delta
0.075
weighted avg
0.271
mix covered
0.95
detail
Drake Baldwin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Glasnow throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the knuckle curve: Tyler Glasnow throws it 21% of the time, and Drake Baldwin strikes out 62% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.