EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+5 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Monday, October 12, 2026
Joey Ortiz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws it 27% of the time, and Joey Ortiz strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
687401
player name
Joey Ortiz
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
pitcher name
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
direction
vulnerable
headline
+5 pts
weighted krate
0.251
own baseline
0.198
k delta
0.053
weighted avg
0.202
mix covered
0.939
detail
Joey Ortiz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws it 27% of the time, and Joey Ortiz strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.