EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Spencer Horwitz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 15% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Spencer Horwitz strikes out 36% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, September 11, 2026

Spencer Horwitz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 15% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Spencer Horwitz strikes out 36% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
687462
player name
Spencer Horwitz
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Shota Imanaga
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.23
own baseline
0.153
k delta
0.077
weighted avg
0.215
mix covered
0.892
detail
Spencer Horwitz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 15% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Spencer Horwitz strikes out 36% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.