EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

Dylan Beavers is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 31% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Dylan Beavers strikes out 47% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Dylan Beavers is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 31% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Dylan Beavers strikes out 47% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
687637
player name
Dylan Beavers
team
Baltimore Orioles
matchup
Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
pitcher name
Joey Cantillo
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.308
own baseline
0.249
k delta
0.059
weighted avg
0.245
mix covered
0.883
detail
Dylan Beavers is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 31% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Dylan Beavers strikes out 47% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.