EDGEAI
-13 pts
Jordan Lawlar is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the changeup: Landen Roupp throws it 21% of the time, and Jordan Lawlar strikes out 0% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 69% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Thursday, August 27, 2026
Jordan Lawlar is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the changeup: Landen Roupp throws it 21% of the time, and Jordan Lawlar strikes out 0% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 69% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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