EDGEAI
-11 pts
Joe Mack is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the curveball: Jake Irvin throws it 24% of the time, and Joe Mack strikes out 13% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
Published Saturday, August 22, 2026
Joe Mack is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the curveball: Jake Irvin throws it 24% of the time, and Joe Mack strikes out 13% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
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