EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-11 pts

Joe Mack is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Javier Assad throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Javier Assad throws it 42% of the time, and Joe Mack strikes out 14% of the time against it across 44 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 73% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Saturday, September 5, 2026

Joe Mack is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Javier Assad throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Javier Assad throws it 42% of the time, and Joe Mack strikes out 14% of the time against it across 44 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 73% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
691788
player name
Joe Mack
team
Miami Marlins
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Javier Assad
direction
comfortable
headline
-11 pts
weighted krate
0.148
own baseline
0.257
k delta
-0.109
weighted avg
0.281
mix covered
0.734
detail
Joe Mack is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Javier Assad throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Javier Assad throws it 42% of the time, and Joe Mack strikes out 14% of the time against it across 44 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 73% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.