EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+17 pts

Denzer Guzman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Cody Bradford throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 17 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Cody Bradford throws it 37% of the time, and Denzer Guzman strikes out 46% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Saturday, August 22, 2026

Denzer Guzman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Cody Bradford throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 17 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Cody Bradford throws it 37% of the time, and Denzer Guzman strikes out 46% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
694203
player name
Denzer Guzman
team
Los Angeles Angels
matchup
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers
pitcher name
Cody Bradford
direction
vulnerable
headline
+17 pts
weighted krate
0.423
own baseline
0.253
k delta
0.17
weighted avg
0.172
mix covered
0.863
detail
Denzer Guzman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Cody Bradford throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 17 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Cody Bradford throws it 37% of the time, and Denzer Guzman strikes out 46% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.