EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Cole Carrigg is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Andrew Alvarez throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Andrew Alvarez throws it 31% of the time, and Cole Carrigg strikes out 53% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Cole Carrigg is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Andrew Alvarez throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Andrew Alvarez throws it 31% of the time, and Cole Carrigg strikes out 53% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
694249
player name
Cole Carrigg
team
Colorado Rockies
matchup
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
pitcher name
Andrew Alvarez
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.299
own baseline
0.215
k delta
0.084
weighted avg
0.268
mix covered
0.96
detail
Cole Carrigg is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Andrew Alvarez throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Andrew Alvarez throws it 31% of the time, and Cole Carrigg strikes out 53% of the time against it across 15 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.