EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

Jacob Gonzalez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Vásquez throws, compared with 19% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Randy Vásquez throws it 24% of the time, and Jacob Gonzalez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Jacob Gonzalez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Vásquez throws, compared with 19% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Randy Vásquez throws it 24% of the time, and Jacob Gonzalez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
694378
player name
Jacob Gonzalez
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
pitcher name
Randy Vásquez
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.284
own baseline
0.194
k delta
0.09
weighted avg
0.144
mix covered
0.704
detail
Jacob Gonzalez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Randy Vásquez throws, compared with 19% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Randy Vásquez throws it 24% of the time, and Jacob Gonzalez strikes out 42% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 70% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.