EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

Abimelec Ortiz is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Michael McGreevy throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Michael McGreevy throws it 17% of the time, and Abimelec Ortiz strikes out 0% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
694673
player name
Abimelec Ortiz
team
Washington Nationals
matchup
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Michael McGreevy
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.195
own baseline
0.276
k delta
-0.081
weighted avg
0.209
mix covered
0.831
detail
Abimelec Ortiz is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 20% of the time against the kind of pitches Michael McGreevy throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Michael McGreevy throws it 17% of the time, and Abimelec Ortiz strikes out 0% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.