EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+10 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

Brett Harris is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 40% of the time against the kind of pitches Blake Snell throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Blake Snell throws it 49% of the time, and Brett Harris strikes out 42% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Brett Harris Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
695391
player name
Brett Harris
team
San Francisco Giants
matchup
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
pitcher name
Blake Snell
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.395
own baseline
0.297
k delta
0.098
weighted avg
0.209
mix covered
0.598
detail
Brett Harris is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 40% of the time against the kind of pitches Blake Snell throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Blake Snell throws it 49% of the time, and Brett Harris strikes out 42% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.